POLITICO Playbook: How both parties are thinking about impeachment’s next phase


News / Worldwide 21 Views

POLITICO Playbook: How both parties are thinking about impeachment’s next phase


News / Worldwide 21 Views

PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP IN LONDON this morning, sitting alongside NATO Secretary-Common JENS STOLTENBERG throughout a 52-minute photo-op/press conference:

SIREN! … TRUMP stated on the CHINA DEAL: “I've no deadline, no. In some ways I feel it’s better to wait until after the election, if you wish to know the reality. … In some methods I like waiting until after the election for the China deal.”

-- TRUMP will meet with British PM BORIS JOHNSON: “I have no thoughts on [his election], it’s going to be a really necessary election for this nice country. But I have no thoughts on it. I will probably be meeting wIth him, sure.” … WHY IS TRUMP STAYING OUT OF THE ELECTION? “As a result of I don’t need to complicate it.” POLITICO Europe’s Emilio Casalicchio: “Trump timebomb lands in U.K. election campaign”

-- ON EMMANUEL MACRON’S STATEMENT THAT NATO IS BRAIN-DEAD: “You've got a very high unemployment fee in France. France isn't doing nicely economically at all. They’re starting to tax other individuals’s products. So, subsequently, we’re going to tax them, that’s just happening right now on know-how, and we’re doing their wines and all the things else. It’s a very robust assertion to make when you will have such problem in France. …

“I might say that no one wants NATO more than France. You look back at the final long time period, no one wants NATO more than France. And admittedly, the one that advantages really the least is america.”

-- ON HIS RELATIONSHIP WITH MACRON, with whom he’s meeting later at this time: “I feel it’s fantastic. I’ve all the time had a good relationship with Emmanuel. Typically he’ll say things that he shouldn’t say and I disagree with some of his insurance policies with respect to France, but he’s gotta do what he’s gotta do.”

-- ON IMPEACHMENT: “It’s a hoax, the impeachment thing is a hoax, it’s turned out to be a hoax. It’s accomplished for purely political achieve -- they’re going to see whether or not they can do one thing in 2020 because otherwise they’re going to lose.”

-- TRUMP SAYS NO TO A CENSURE OFFRAMP: “Unacceptable. I did nothing fallacious. … You don’t censure anyone once they did nothing incorrect.”

-- WILL HE SANCTION TURKEY OVER BUYING RUSSIAN MILITARY EQUIPMENT?: “I like Turkey and I get alongside very nicely with the president … And he’s an excellent member of NATO or shall be.” Ahem … Reuters: “Turkey threatens to block NATO plan on summit eve”

-- POMPEO FOR SENATE? “I might say this: If I assumed we have been going to lose that seat, because we shouldn’t lose that seat, it’s an excellent state, it’s a state that I gained overwhelmingly, as you recognize … then I might sit down and speak to Mike. But you'll be able to by no means find anyone who might do a greater job as secretary of State.”

FOR MARTY BARON: TRUMP referred to reading a narrative in The WASHINGTON POST a minimum of as soon as. This comes after his White Home stated they have been cancelling WaPo subscriptions.

FIRST LOOK THIS MORNING … BOTH PARTIES’ technique going into the HOUSE JUDICIARY COMMITTEE part of impeachment:

-- HOUSE DEMOCRATS have launched a two-minute-thirty-nine-second video that opens with this: “Two weeks of testimony … One story of betrayal.” It then ticks by way of a lot of the witnesses’ most damning testimony, describing their position in the impeachment. For instance, this appears on the display before Invoice Taylor speaks: “The revered ambassador and adorned veteran … Who noticed the strain marketing campaign up close.” The video

REPUBLICANS’ PLAN FOR BATTLE WITH NADLER … AFTER TWO WEEKS of impeachment hearings, one thing appears past a doubt: House Intelligence Chairman ADAM SCHIFF (D-Calif.) ran a tight ship. Republicans say it was too tight, and patently unfair. And Democrats say Schiff weaved collectively a decent story of intrigue, and put a bow on a package deal of criminality that implicated the president -- all while holding other members of the committee in line.

ON WEDNESDAY, THE JUDICIARY COMMITTEE will take over. JUDICIARY was sidelined as soon as, so there’s quite a bit at stake for the panel, led by Rep. JERRY NADLER (D-N.Y.), and crammed with a number of the most conservative and liberal members of Congress.

REPUBLICANS FEEL THEY HAVE A CHANCE TO SLOW DEMOCRATS’ MOMENTUM.And here’s how they assume they’re going to do it.

-- PROCEDURAL ROADBLOCKS: Rep. DOUG COLLINS (R-Ga.) -- the top Republican on Judiciary -- is going to pressure procedural arguments with NADLER and battle when Democrats try to bat them away. This can be a marked distinction from how Rep. DEVIN NUNES (R-Calif.) carried out himself -- keep in mind the Steele dossier? Collins is an lawyer, and these hearings aren’t investigative in nature -- so Republicans will give attention to the definition of terms like “bribery” and the usual of proof.

-- COLLINS VS. NADLER: Republicans consider that, in contrast to Schiff, Nadler may be knocked off kilter easily. Whereas Schiff spoke extemporaneously in full sentences, Nadler -- in accordance to Republican research -- tends to rely on notes.

-- BIG PLAYERS TO WATCH: Republicans are, once more, going to depend on Reps. JIM JORDAN (R-Ohio) and JOHN RATCLIFFE (R-Texas), who're additionally on Judiciary.

-- PROCESS, PROCESS, PROCESS: Watch for Republicans to complain quite a bit about what they think about an unjust process. They’ll speak about documents they didn’t get and the lack for them to talk to reality witnesses, and, when it comes time, they’ll search to discredit the SCHIFF REPORT as being part of what they contemplate a broken process.

-- COLLINS WILL TALK TO THE PRESS: NUNES has an virtually blanket rule that he won't converse to most reporters. COLLINS is predicted to gaggle ceaselessly, as he did throughout the Robert Mueller course of.

-- REPUBLICANS WILL RELY ON LAWMAKERS MORE THAN COUNSEL: Collins anticipates using professional employees, but in addition search for an lively dose of member participation.

-- DON’T EXPECT FIREWORKS: Intel set a excessive bar -- Fiona Hill and the opposite witnesses have been explosive. However Republican Judiciary insiders make this level: Judiciary’s witnesses will not be going to be reality witnesses with firsthand information of the problems at hand, they usually anticipate them to be a bit uninteresting. Working example: Wednesday’s listening to is a little bit of a tutorial exercise, with professors lining as much as talk about the finer authorized factors of impeachment and excessive crimes and misdemeanors. Even the professors the Democrats referred to as weren't family names to most people outdoors the authorized group.

-- The witnesses: Noah Feldman of Harvard Regulation, Pamela S. Karlan of Stanford, Michael J. Gerhardt of UNC and Jonathan Turley of GW. Republicans referred to as Turley.

INTEL ISN’T DONE YET … SCHIFF to MSNBC’s RACHEL MADDOW on Monday night time: “Even while Judiciary does its work, we'll proceed investigating. We’re continuing to problem subpoenas. We’re persevering with to study new info. That work goes on.”

COMING ATTRACTIONS … NYT’s NICK FANDOS: “Home Democrats pressed ahead on Monday with the subsequent part of their impeachment inquiry, placing the final touches on an Intelligence Committee report anticipated to type the idea of their case that President Trump’s effort to strain Ukraine to announce investigations of his political rivals was an abuse of power that warrants his removing from office.

“Lawmakers from the panel reviewed the staff-written report for the first time on Monday evening, forward of its public launch and a scheduled Tuesday night vote to transmit it to the Judiciary Committee. It should conclude that Mr. Trump, working with allies inside and out of doors his administration, used the facility of his workplace to strain Ukraine to do his bidding with a view to achieve an advantage within the 2020 presidential race.” NYT

THE MINORITY REPORT … “Republicans launch impeachment rebuttal ahead of Judiciary hearing,” by Andrew Desiderio, Melanie Zanona and Kyle Cheney

OF INTEREST TO SCHIFF & CO. … NYT’S ANDREW KRAMER in Kyiv: “Ukraine Knew of Help Freeze in July, Says Ex-Prime Official in Kyiv”: “As deputy overseas minister, it was Olena Zerkal’s job to learn incoming diplomatic cables from embassies all over the world. One from Washington caught her eye again in July, she recalled: It stated the Trump administration had frozen army assist for Ukraine. ‘We had this info,’ Ms. Zerkal stated in an interview. ‘It was undoubtedly mentioned there were some points.’” NYT

Good Wednesday morning. NEW … Speaker NANCY PELOSI will sit down with ANNA for a keynote dialog every week from right now at the 2019 Ladies Rule Summit in D.C. There are still a number of remaining seats for the Dec. 10 event. Request your ticket here The full agenda

MAIN JUSTICE VS. ITSELF … WAPO’S DEVLIN BARRETT and KAROUN DEMIRJIAN: “Barr disputes key inspector general finding about FBI’s Russia investigation”: “Lawyer Common William P. Barr has advised associates he disagrees with the Justice Division’s inspector common on one of the key findings in an upcoming report -- that the FBI had sufficient info in July 2016 to justify launching an investigation into members of the Trump campaign, in response to individuals conversant in the matter.

“The Justice Department’s inspector basic, Michael Horo­witz, is due to launch his long-awaited findings in a week, however behind the scenes on the Justice Division, disagreement has surfaced about one among Horowitz’s central conclusions on the origins of the Russia investigation. The discord might be the prelude to a serious fissure within federal regulation enforcement on the controversial question of investigating a presidential campaign.”

-- NYT adds: “Mr. Barr has privately praised Mr. Horowitz for his work and has not made clear whether he will publicly disagree with the report. It's commonplace follow for the Justice Division to undergo the inspector common a written response to his findings, which is then included in the ultimate evaluation. Mr. Barr might use that opportunity to situation a formal rebuttal, or he might make a public statement of another variety.”

TRADE POLITICS … “Trump conquers Republicans on commerce,” by Burgess Everett and Marianne LeVine: “President Donald Trump is profitable a minimum of one trade conflict: The one together with his personal celebration. Free-trading Republicans have feuded with the president for years now, and his determination on Monday to reimpose tariffs on Brazil and Argentina introduced new criticism from GOP senators — right as he wants them to fend off the impeachment inquiry threatens his presidency.

“But despite the complaints from Senate Republicans that Trump is eroding his get together’s free trade bona fides, the GOP seemingly can’t — or gained’t — rally the votes to handcuff the president. Competing proposals that may give Congress extra sway over sure tariffs have been languishing in the Senate Finance Committee, leaving extra establishment-minded Republicans little choice however to take a seat again and gripe and marvel what just hit them.” POLITICO

-- “Trump’s latest trade war: French champagne vs. Google taxes,” by Doug Palmer and Mark Scott

-- WSJ EDITORIAL BOARD: “Mount Tariff Erupts Again: Trump hurts his re-election possibilities with more commerce uncertainty”

2020 WATCH …

-- BIDEN ON FIRE … NATASHA KORECKI in Emmetsburg, Iowa: “Biden says he doesn’t need Obama’s endorsement”: “Former Vice President Joe Biden on Monday stated he didn’t want Barack Obama’s endorsement in the Democratic main, even when the subject have been down to 3 individuals. He also scoffed on the notion that Sen. Elizabeth Warren is building enthusiasm and accused Mayor Pete Buttigieg of stealing his plans.

“In a wide-ranging interview aboard his marketing campaign bus during an eight-day tour by means of Iowa, Biden talked to reporters about his prospects in Iowa, the possible power of his marketing campaign going into Super Tuesday and his relationship with the previous president.

“Biden reiterated that he asked Obama to not endorse him, and he stuck by that stance even when asked whether or not he’d want Obama’s backing if the sector narrowed to 3 individuals. ‘No, because everybody is aware of I’m close with him,’ Biden stated. ‘I don’t want an Obama endorsement.’” POLITICO

-- “Buttigieg tries to reset struggling outreach to black voters,” by Elena Schneider in Allendale, S.C.: “Having failed to realize traction with African American voters to date this campaign, Buttigieg’s campaign is taking a special strategy to his three-day swing via South Carolina: Hold it small. The South Bend, Ind., mayor opted for largely invitation-only roundtables and personal sit-downs with African American leaders in the state, the place the Democratic citizens is majority-black.

“It’s a strikingly totally different strategy to the one Buttigieg takes in the first two early states, where he has surged into a gaggle of four frontrunners in current polling — and the place he has seven public town halls scheduled over four days later this week, for instance. But as Buttigieg tries to break in with African American voters, he’s leaning on ‘very, very intimate’ settings, stated Matt Bowman, who hosted Buttigieg at his vineyard in Round O, S.C., for a conversation on black entrepreneurship with two dozen individuals.” POLITICO

TRUMP’S TUESDAY -- The president participated in a one-on-one meeting and later had breakfast with Stoltenberg in London. He'll depart Winfield House at 11 a.m. native time for the InterContinental London Park Lane, the place he will take part in a roundtable with supporters. Afterward, Trump will return to Winfield Home. He will take part in a restricted bilateral meeting and then an expanded bilateral meeting with Macron at 2 p.m. Trump will meet with Canadian PM Justin Trudeau at three:30 p.m.

TRUMP and first woman MELANIA TRUMP will depart Winfield House at 4:55 p.m en path to Clarence House. They'll have tea at 5:15 p.m. with the prince of Wales and the duchess of Cornwall. Afterward, they'll head to Buckingham Palace, where they may attend a NATO reception hosted by Queen Elizabeth. The two will depart for No. 10 Downing Road at 7:35 p.m. and attend a NATO leaders’ reception hosted by Johnson. Afterward, they'll return to Winfield Home.

CLICKER … POLITICO EUROPE: “The 28 people shaping, shaking and stirring Europe”

FROM RUSSIAGATE WITH LOVE … TAKEAWAYS FROM BUZZFEED’S JASON LEOPOLD ET AL: “Here Are The Newest Secret Memos From Mueller’s Report”: “Michael Cohen stated Trump family legal professionals stored him from telling the reality. … In February 2017, Trump needed Comey to know ‘I really like him.’ … Christie laughed when Trump stated ‘the Russia factor is over’ after Michael Flynn left office … Hope Hicks stated Trump was ‘indignant, stunned, and annoyed’ when Mueller was appointed … Hicks believed that Obama's warning about Michael Flynn ‘sat with’ Trump … Hicks informed the FBI she was ‘shocked’ by emails about the Trump Tower assembly.” BuzzFeed

-- SCOOP … NATASHA BERTRAND: “Senate panel look into Ukraine interference comes up short”

MEGATRENDS -- “U.S. Dominance in International Providers Weakens,” by WSJ’s Paul Kiernan: “Exports of providers barely rose within the first 9 months of 2019, whereas imports rose 5.5%, the Commerce Department stated.

“The providers surplus, at $178.5 billion by way of September, was down 10% from a yr earlier, on pace for its steepest annual decline since 2003. October knowledge are due out Thursday.

“The providers pullback is critical as a result of in the final half-century the U.S. has advanced from an industrial superpower into the undisputed champion of the global providers financial system. From 2003 to 2015, the U.S. commerce surplus in providers such as medical care, greater schooling, royalties and payments processing almost sextupled to $263.three billion.” WSJ

-- NYT: “Watch 4 Decades of Inequality Drive American Cities Apart”

MEDIAWATCH -- “Giuliani Threatens to Sue Fox News Host for Calling Him Part of the ‘Swamp,’” by The Day by day Beast’s Andrew Kirell

-- Chris Bedford will probably be senior editor at The Federalist. He beforehand was editor-in-chief at The Day by day Caller Information Foundation.

Send tips to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at politicoplaybook@politico.com.

TRANSITIONS -- Michael Moran has rejoined Credit score Suisse as head of U.S. coverage. He beforehand was head of federal affairs for Zurich North America. … Loryn Wilson Carter is now director of communications and media at the Raben Group. She most just lately was a senior strategist at Meridian Solutions and is an NAACP and Middle for Group Change alum.

BIRTHWEEK (was Saturday): Amijah Townsend-Holmes of the Joe Biden campaign’s comms staff, who celebrated with a visit to New Orleans (h/t Andrew Bates)

BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Mike Inacay, comms director for Sen. Brian Schatz (D-Hawaii). A development that he thinks deserves extra attention: “Because of the exhausting work of leaders and activists from all over the world, we’re seeing more consideration on the pressing need for climate action, but the full scope of its influence continues to be extensively underreported. Climate change is hurting each group and every business in every part of the world.” Playbook Q&A

BIRTHDAYS: Rep. Eddie Bernice Johnson (D-Texas) is 84 … Robby Mook, senior fellow at the Kennedy Faculty and president of House Majority PAC … Tom Oppel (h/ts Teresa Vilmain) … Ali Zelenko, SVP for comms at NBC Information … Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson is 69 … WaPo’s Scott Higham … Cody Sanders of the White House … POLITICO’s Bruce Ritchie and Thomas Good … Invoice Sternberg, editorial page editor at USA As we speak, is 63 … Jesse Lee is Four-0 … Jamie Carroll … Margaret Mulkerrin … Diane Cardwell … Kevin Baron, government editor of Defense One … Lance Trover, advisor at Tusk Strategies … Bill Tighe, VP of federal government affairs on the National Affiliation of Chain Drug Stores, is 42 … Meg Hilling …

… Laura Howard of Sentinel Strategic Advisors … Robert Pondiscio … Katelyn Rieley Johnson … Jacqueline Quasney … Lizzie Edelman, managing companion at E:SIX Strategies … Missy Jenkins ... former Rep. Jim Renacci (R-Ohio) is 61 … former Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-S.D.) is 49 ... Daniel Chao, COS for Rep. Grace Napolitano (D-Calif.) ... Sara Elnusairi … Danielle Filson ... Mandi Critchfield, communications director for the Senate Banking Committee ... Neal Ungerleider ... David Meyers, publisher and government editor at The Fulcrum ... Colin Hanna ... Chris Kelaher ... Rich McFadden ... Miles Doran, producer for “CBS This Morning” ... John Toohey

Article initially revealed on POLITICO Magazine